Ultrasonic features are tied to an increased risk of tumor progression in patients with papillary thyroid microcarcinoma undergoing active surveillance, a South Korean study published October 31 in Radiology found.
Researchers led by Ji Ye Lee, MD, from Seoul National University Hospital found that ultrasound features of diffuse thyroid disease and intratumoral vascularity, along with other patient characteristics, are significantly associated with this thyroid cancer.
“Prediction incorporating ultrasound features may help personalize surveillance strategies in the future,” Lee and colleagues wrote.
Active surveillance is an accepted strategy in cases of low-risk papillary thyroid microcarcinoma. However, the researchers noted that there is debate on whether ultrasound features have any prognostic relevance in this area. Exacerbating this are previous studies investigating this, which have produced inconsistent results.
Progression of hypervascular tumor with lymph node metastasis in a 64-year-old male participant with papillary thyroid microcarcinoma. (A-C) Baseline ultrasound images. (A) Transverse gray-scale image shows a solid hypoechoic thyroid nodule (arrow) with a maximal diameter of 7 mm. (B) Color Doppler image shows hypervascularity, represented by increased vascularity above that of normal thyroid parenchyma (arrows). (C) Transverse gray-scale image shows a small, probably benign lymph node at left level IV (arrow). (D) Transverse ultrasound image at 12-month follow-up demonstrates a suspicious lymph node (arrow) with increased shortest diameter and punctate echogenic foci (arrowhead). Subsequent fine-needle aspiration for this level IV lymph node revealed a metastatic thyroid papillary carcinoma. Image courtesy of Radiology.
Lee and co-authors investigated whether ultrasound features could help predict tumor progression in patients with low-risk papillary thyroid microcarcinoma who are undergoing active surveillance.
They included data from 699 patients from three hospitals between 2016 and 2021. The patients were self-assigned to either immediate surgery or active surveillance. Patients with two or more ultrasound exams in the absence of surgery were included in the study. Of the total, 68 patients showed tumor progression, with a median follow-up of 41.4 months.
The team found significant associations between the ultrasound features of diffuse thyroid disease and intratumoral vascularity and tumor progression. It also reported associations between other patient characteristics and tumor progression, represented by hazard ratio (HR) values.
| Characteristic |
Hazard ratio |
p-value |
|---|---|---|
| Diffuse thyroid disease |
2.3 |
0.001 |
| Intratumoral vascularity |
1.7 |
0.04 |
| Male sex |
2.8 |
< 0.001 |
| Age younger than 30 years |
2.9 |
0.01 |
| Thyroid-stimulating hormone level of 7 μU/mL or higher |
6.9 |
< 0.001 |
The researchers also found that patients with diffuse thyroid disease (14%, p = 0.001) or intratumoral vascularity (14%, p = 0.02) had a significantly higher risk of tumor progression than patients without these ultrasound features (6%).
Finally, they reported significant ties between both ultrasound features and tumor enlargement (HR = 2.7, p = 0.002), as well as new lymph node metastasis (HR = 5, P = 0.02).
The study authors suggested that based on their findings, diffuse thyroid disease and tumor vascularity should be assessed on ultrasound scans in patients undergoing active surveillance, along with tumor characteristics.
“A robust model that accurately predicts progression could be used to help stratify surveillance protocols, and could reduce patient anxiety, enhance cost-effectiveness, and potentially allow for wider adoption of active surveillance,” they wrote.
In an accompanying editorial, Karen Reuter, MD, from Tufts University in Massachusetts wrote that the study is "an excellent addition to our radiology literature," adding that it supports the American College of Radiology's goal of decreasing the number of unnecessary thyroid nodule biopsies.
"The study also provides insight into the best follow-up plan for papillary thyroid microcarcinomas>, which have shown increasing incidence worldwide," Reuter wrote. "The study demonstrated the positive value of Doppler-based evaluation of papillary thyroid microcarcinomas, raising the question of the potential value of future alterations to TI-RADS guidelines."
The full study can be found here.
![Examples of ultrasound findings and techniques. (A) Images in a 39-year-old male patient with a mass in the left thigh. The mass is heterogeneous on the B-mode US image (compared with the patient in D) and showed increased microvascularity (superb microvascular imaging [SMI]) and shear-wave elastography (SWE) values. Undifferentiated pleomorphic sarcoma was diagnosed at biopsy (with pleomorphic rhabdomyosarcoma in surgical specimen). (B) Images in an 18-year-old male patient with a mass in the left leg. The mass is hypoechoic on the B-mode image, with no other findings suggestive of malignancy. The lesion is in contact with the cortex of the tibia, which is slightly irregular. CT revealed a doubtful anteromedial tibial erosion. The microvascular study demonstrated high vascularization, suggestive of malignancy. Periosteal Ewing sarcoma was diagnosed with both histologic and immunohistochemical confirmation. (C) Images in a 69-year-old female patient with a lump growing on the outside of the left leg. Multiple SWE examinations were performed (please note the high values obtained in the measurements, whereas the color map highlights the stiffness relative to adjacent tissues). SMI showed areas of increased vascularization to target for sampling. Undifferentiated spindle cell sarcoma was diagnosed at biopsy, with residual leiomyosarcoma in the surgical specimen after neoadjuvant therapy. (D) Images in a 56-year-old female patient with a mass in the right thigh. The mass is heterogeneous at both B-mode ultrasound (similar to patient A) and MRI (coronal T2-weighted spectral attenuated inversion recovery [SPAIR]; T1-weighted pre-contrast and postcontrast imaging), which even shows uptake after the administration of paramagnetic contrast material, which is traditionally suggestive of malignancy. Low values at SMI and elastography are suggestive of benignity. Spindle cell lipoma was diagnosed at biopsy, with atypical spindle cell lipomatous tumor in the surgical specimen.](https://img.auntminnie.com/mindful/smg/workspaces/default/uploads/2026/08/images-radiol250278fig2.APCFLSvX6p.jpg?auto=format%2Ccompress&fit=crop&h=100&q=70&w=100)






![Examples of ultrasound findings and techniques. (A) Images in a 39-year-old male patient with a mass in the left thigh. The mass is heterogeneous on the B-mode US image (compared with the patient in D) and showed increased microvascularity (superb microvascular imaging [SMI]) and shear-wave elastography (SWE) values. Undifferentiated pleomorphic sarcoma was diagnosed at biopsy (with pleomorphic rhabdomyosarcoma in surgical specimen). (B) Images in an 18-year-old male patient with a mass in the left leg. The mass is hypoechoic on the B-mode image, with no other findings suggestive of malignancy. The lesion is in contact with the cortex of the tibia, which is slightly irregular. CT revealed a doubtful anteromedial tibial erosion. The microvascular study demonstrated high vascularization, suggestive of malignancy. Periosteal Ewing sarcoma was diagnosed with both histologic and immunohistochemical confirmation. (C) Images in a 69-year-old female patient with a lump growing on the outside of the left leg. Multiple SWE examinations were performed (please note the high values obtained in the measurements, whereas the color map highlights the stiffness relative to adjacent tissues). SMI showed areas of increased vascularization to target for sampling. Undifferentiated spindle cell sarcoma was diagnosed at biopsy, with residual leiomyosarcoma in the surgical specimen after neoadjuvant therapy. (D) Images in a 56-year-old female patient with a mass in the right thigh. The mass is heterogeneous at both B-mode ultrasound (similar to patient A) and MRI (coronal T2-weighted spectral attenuated inversion recovery [SPAIR]; T1-weighted pre-contrast and postcontrast imaging), which even shows uptake after the administration of paramagnetic contrast material, which is traditionally suggestive of malignancy. Low values at SMI and elastography are suggestive of benignity. Spindle cell lipoma was diagnosed at biopsy, with atypical spindle cell lipomatous tumor in the surgical specimen.](https://img.auntminnie.com/mindful/smg/workspaces/default/uploads/2026/08/images-radiol250278fig2.APCFLSvX6p.jpg?auto=format%2Ccompress&fit=crop&h=112&q=70&w=112)










